A list was unveiled yesterday of 25 British authors tipped to be the biggest stars of the first quarter of this century. But by no means all of them will scale the commanding heights of literature. In contrast to the more familiar forecasts for star literary novelists - from Kazuo Ishiguro to Zadie Smith - produced by Granta for each decade since the 1980s, the new compilation is far more varied and down to earth.
It features the cookery author Jo Pratt, the winners of romantic novel prizes Maggie O'Farrell and Peter Hobbs, the high priest of violent science fiction, Richard Morgan, crime writers CJ Sansom, Chris Simms, Nick Stone and Louise Welsh, and the specialist in historical stories Robyn Young. Gautam Malkani, who caused a stir with Londonstani, his much-hyped debut novel about the "rudeboy" anti-assimilation Asian subculture, also features. The diverse list was compiled by a panel of senior book buyers in the Waterstone's bookshop chain from 100 entries sent in by 250 publishers, publishing editors and authors' agents.
Yesterday John Howells, the panel's chairman, said: "This is a list for the ordinary reader who goes into our shops, not for those who follow literary trends."
Some listed authors get free front-of-shop promotion today and all on the list can expect to have the formidable muscle of the Waterstone's sales force behind them - an advantage not open to those on the Granta lists. This muscle has already helped turn two listed writers - Susanna Clarke and Marina Lewycka - into bestsellers for the Victorian fantasy Jonathan Strange and Mr Norrell and A Short History of Tractors in Ukrainian.
The list in full
Naomi Alderman
Susanna Clarke
Siobhan Dowd
Jasper Fforde
Julia Golding
Emily Gravett
Steven Hall
Jane Harris
Peter Hobbs
Marina Lewycka
Robert Macfarlane
Gautam Malkani
Jon McGregor
Charlotte Mendelson
Richard Morgan
Maggie O'Farrell
Helen Oyeyemi
Jo Pratt
Dominic Sandbrook
CJ Sansom
Chris Simms
Nick Stone
Louise Welsh
Ben Wilson
Robyn Young